He is more honest when discussing the conflict between Russia and China, more diplomatic when discussing the conflict between China and India, I note.
I am not nearly as optimistic as he seems to be. Seems.
Take a glance at the increase in India's military budget per annum, 2015 to 2025:
https://data.worldbank.org/indicator/MS.MIL.XPND.CD?locations=IN
Climate change is salient: the disappearance of the glaciers in western Canada is one thing, the disappearance of the glacier in the middle of India quite another. This is a chess match being played with a timer counting down.
I dare not mention the effects of climate change on Siberia (a more important theater for the conflict than most commentators are willing to suppose). I'm not the only one who remembers Nikolaevsk-on-Amur. From a Chinese perspective, those borders make no sense, and urgently require rationalization. At the end of this Ukraine war, presumably, Russia will be weak enough to be rationalized with.
